Saudi Pro League · 2025King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr 1–2 Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah won 1–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
2.142.13
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al-Nassr 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Nassr – Al-Qadisiyah FC): shots 16–7, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 2.14–2.13, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.92 corners/match ●CornersAl-Nassr · Al-Qadisiyah FC7.23 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-Qadisiyah FCBaseline
Corners7.92 corners/match7.23 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Al-Nassr show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Al-Nassr's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Nassr · Al-Qadisiyah FC12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-Qadisiyah FCBaseline
Shots20.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against7.54 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Nassr, Al-Qadisiyah FC.

6 days ▲Rest daysAl-Nassr · Al-Qadisiyah FC4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-NassrAl-Qadisiyah FCBaseline
Rest days6 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsAl-Nassr 16 shots, Al-Qadsiah 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAl-Nassr 3 shots, Al-Qadsiah 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG2.13 xGAl-Nassr 2.14 xG, Al-Qadsiah 2.13 xG
  • Possession55%45%Al-Nassr 55%, Al-Qadsiah 45%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerAl-Nassr 4 corners, Al-Qadsiah 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls17 foulsAl-Nassr 9 fouls, Al-Qadsiah 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards6 cardsAl-Nassr 2 cards, Al-Qadsiah 6 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 3′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 11′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 29′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 83′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSultan Al-Ghannam · Al-Nassr · 85′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSaad Al-Nasser · Al-Nassr · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdulelah Al-Amri · Al-Nassr · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 66′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 36′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 5′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 66′ · 0.16 xG · goalCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 81′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Nassr: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.18 xG. Al-Qadisiyah FC: 7 shots, 5 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 81′Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 51′Nahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Nassr 1.18 xG · Al-Qadisiyah FC 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Nassr
0Draws
2Al-Qadsiah
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Nassr — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Nassr favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Qadsiah in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Nassr13 matchesAl-Qadsiah13 matches
2.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/132 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131 goal/match
2.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.82 xG/match
20.6 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.8 shots/match
7.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134.77 shots/match
61.1% ●Possession13/1357.6%
7.92 corners/match ●Corners13/137.23 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards13/131.77 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 8 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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