PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2025Al-Hazem Club Stadium

Al-Kholood 2–3 Neom SC · Saudi Pro League

2–3Historical match

Neom SC

WWWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Neom SC won 2–3.

Shots
66
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.140.67
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEOM beat Al Kholood 3–2. Recorded in this match (Al Kholood – NEOM): shots 6–6, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.14–0.67, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Kholood's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al Kholood's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al Kholood show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Kholood · NEOM13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl KholoodNEOMBaseline
Shots9 shots/match13.1 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match9.43 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots6 shotsAl-Kholood 6 shots, Neom SC 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAl-Kholood 4 shots, Neom SC 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG0.67 xGAl-Kholood 1.14 xG, Neom SC 0.67 xG
  • Possession47%53%Al-Kholood 47%, Neom SC 53%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAl-Kholood 4 corners, Neom SC 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsAl-Kholood 14 fouls, Neom SC 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsAl-Kholood 3 cards, Neom SC 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Saïd Benrahma · NEOM · 19′ · 0.00 xG · on targetFaris Abdi · NEOM · 60′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMyziane Maolida · Al Kholood · 72′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSaimon Bouabre · NEOM · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMyziane Maolida · Al Kholood · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · NEOM · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRamiro Enrique · Al Kholood · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKévin N'Doram · Al Kholood · 5′ · 0.10 xG · goalSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 8′ · 0.10 xG · goalWilliam Troost-Ekong · NEOM · 32′ · 0.10 xG · goalSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 66′ · 0.10 xG · goalRamiro Enrique · Al Kholood · 82′ · 0.10 xG · goalHattan Bahebri · Al Kholood · 29′ · 0.14 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Kholood: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.42 xG. NEOM: 7 shots, 5 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Kévin N'Doram · Al Kholood · 5′Ramiro Enrique · Al Kholood · 82′Saïd Benrahma · NEOM · 8′William Troost-Ekong · NEOM · 32′Saïd Benrahma · NEOM · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Kholood 0.42 xG · NEOM 0.34 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Kholood favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Neom SC in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Kholood7 matchesNeom SC7 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.23 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5 shots/match
46.9%Possession7/7● 54.7%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.29 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards7/62.67 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Oct 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-KholoodNeom SC
CompetitionSaudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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