PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2025King Abdullah Sports City

Al Najma 0–1 Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League

0–1Historical match

Al-Ahli

WDDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 0–1.

Shots
414
Shots on target
06
Expected goals
0.21.25
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Najma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al Najma – Al-Ahli Jeddah): shots 4–14, shots on target 0–6, expected goals 0.2–1.25, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Najma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al Najma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Najma · Al-Ahli Jeddah14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl NajmaAl-Ahli JeddahBaseline
Shots9 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match7.83 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots14 shotsAl Najma 4 shots, Al-Ahli 14 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots6 shotsAl Najma 0 shots, Al-Ahli 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.2 xG1.25 xGAl Najma 0.2 xG, Al-Ahli 1.25 xG
  • Possession41%59%Al Najma 41%, Al-Ahli 59%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersAl Najma 2 corners, Al-Ahli 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsAl Najma 9 fouls, Al-Ahli 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsAl Najma 3 cards, Al-Ahli 3 cards

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al Najma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al Najma6 matchesAl-Ahli6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
0.65 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.36 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.5 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
50%Possession6/6● 57.5%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.33 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/52 cards/match
9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Oct 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl NajmaAl-Ahli
CompetitionSaudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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