PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2025King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Al Najma 0–1 Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Ittihad won 0–1.

Shots
139
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.810.72
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al Najma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al Najma – Al-Ittihad FC): shots 13–9, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.81–0.72, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Al-Ittihad FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.3%PossessionAl Najma · Al-Ittihad FC● 63.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl NajmaAl-Ittihad FCBaseline
Possession50.3%63.7%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsAl Najma 13 shots, Al-Ittihad 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotAl Najma 3 shots, Al-Ittihad 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.72 xGAl Najma 0.81 xG, Al-Ittihad 0.72 xG
  • Possession40%60%Al Najma 40%, Al-Ittihad 60%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersAl Najma 3 corners, Al-Ittihad 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls19 foulsAl Najma 8 fouls, Al-Ittihad 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsAl Najma 1 card, Al-Ittihad 4 cards

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al Najma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ittihad in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al Najma3 matchesAl-Ittihad3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.83 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 13.7 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 6 shots/match
50.3%Possession3/3● 63.7%
2.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.67 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/33.33 cards/match
7.67 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 19:40 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl NajmaAl-Ittihad
CompetitionSaudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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