PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave 1–2 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

LDWWW
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca won 1–2.

Shots
1814
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.641.45
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alverca beat Rio Ave 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – Alverca): shots 18–14, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.64–1.45, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alverca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alverca's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots14 shotsRio Ave 18 shots, FC Alverca 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsRio Ave 5 shots, FC Alverca 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG1.45 xGRio Ave 1.64 xG, FC Alverca 1.45 xG
  • Possession52%48%Rio Ave 52%, FC Alverca 48%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersRio Ave 8 corners, FC Alverca 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls6 foulsRio Ave 7 fouls, FC Alverca 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardRio Ave 2 cards, FC Alverca 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Figueiredo · Alverca · 5′ · 0.01 xG · goalMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac James · Alverca · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFigueiredo · Alverca · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRhaldney · Alverca · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Alverca · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRyan Guilherme · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNabil Touaizi · Alverca · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 83′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRyan Guilherme · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 47′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lima · Alverca · 21′ · 0.14 xG · goalTamblé Monteiro · Rio Ave · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Alverca · 39′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 62′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lima · Alverca · 19′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedCédric Nuozzi · Alverca · 77′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 59′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rio Ave: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG. Alverca: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 59′Figueiredo · Alverca · 5′Sandro Lima · Alverca · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rio Ave 1.67 xG · Alverca 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rio Ave
1Draws
0FC Alverca
FC Alverca — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave29 matchesFC Alverca30 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored29/301.07 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed29/30▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.25 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots29/3010.1 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.6 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession29/3045.4%
4.48 corners/match ●Corners29/304.17 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards24/252.6 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls29/3011.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRio AveFC Alverca
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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