PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense 0–1 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 0–1.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.381.31
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Braga beat Moreirense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Moreirense – SC Braga): shots 12–10, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.38–1.31, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Moreirense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Moreirense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.83 shots/match ▲ShotsMoreirense · SC Braga12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseSC BragaBaseline
Shots8.83 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.17 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.4%PossessionMoreirense · SC Braga● 63.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseSC BragaBaseline
Possession49.4%63.6%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsMoreirense 12 shots, Sporting Braga 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsMoreirense 2 shots, Sporting Braga 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.38 xG1.31 xGMoreirense 0.38 xG, Sporting Braga 1.31 xG
  • Possession40%60%Moreirense 40%, Sporting Braga 60%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersMoreirense 4 corners, Sporting Braga 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsMoreirense 9 fouls, Sporting Braga 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsMoreirense 0 cards, Sporting Braga 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diogo Travassos · Moreirense · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNile John · Moreirense · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPau Víctor · SC Braga · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNile John · Moreirense · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNile John · Moreirense · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCedric Teguia · Moreirense · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego Rodrigues · SC Braga · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuís Semedo · Moreirense · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Travassos · Moreirense · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKiko · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlan · Moreirense · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKiko · Moreirense · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlan · Moreirense · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Moutinho · SC Braga · 65′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 36′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFran Navarro · SC Braga · 38′ · 0.27 xG · on targetSikou Niakaté · SC Braga · 59′ · 0.32 xG · on targetFran Navarro · SC Braga · 24′ · 0.39 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Moreirense: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG. SC Braga: 10 shots, 7 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Fran Navarro · SC Braga · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Moreirense 0.37 xG · SC Braga 1.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Moreirense
0Draws
5Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — Moreirense · Primeira Liga2–1
Moreirense — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting Braga — Moreirense · Primeira Liga3–1
Sporting Braga — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–0
Moreirense — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Moreirense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Moreirense29 matchesSporting Braga29 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 2.07 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1 goal/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals28/27▲ 1.9 xG/match
8.83 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.28 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 5.31 shots/match
49.4%Possession29/29● 63.6%
3.69 corners/matchCorners29/29● 5.66 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards25/252.12 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMoreirenseSporting Braga
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headMoreirense — Sporting Braga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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