PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica · Primeira Liga

1–1Historical match

Benfica

WWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Casa Pia and Benfica drew 1–1.

Shots
818
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.361.67
Possession
22%78%

Full time

What the match recorded

Casa Pia and Benfica drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Casa Pia – Benfica): shots 8–18, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.36–1.67, possession 22%–78%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.45 shots/match ▲ShotsCasa Pia · Benfica17.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaBenficaBaseline
Shots8.45 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match8.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Benfica have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.3%PossessionCasa Pia · Benfica● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaBenficaBaseline
Possession42.3%59.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsCasa Pia 8 shots, Benfica 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsCasa Pia 2 shots, Benfica 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.36 xG1.67 xGCasa Pia 0.36 xG, Benfica 1.67 xG
  • Possession22%78%Casa Pia 22%, Benfica 78%
  • Corners3 corners12 cornersCasa Pia 3 corners, Benfica 12 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsCasa Pia 19 fouls, Benfica 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsCasa Pia 1 card, Benfica 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Richard Ríos · Benfica · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTiago Morais · Casa Pia · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTiago Morais · Casa Pia · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Benfica · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Schjelderup · Benfica · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Rosas · Casa Pia · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCassiano · Casa Pia · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Schjelderup · Benfica · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTiago Morais · Casa Pia · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Schjelderup · Benfica · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Otamendi · Benfica · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Bah · Benfica · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPedro Rosas · Casa Pia · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Benfica · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Benfica · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnísio Cabral · Benfica · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Benfica · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRafael Brito · Casa Pia · 78′ · 0.16 xG · goalVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 44′ · 0.20 xG · on targetVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 40′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Schjelderup · Benfica · 80′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 68′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Casa Pia: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.35 xG. Benfica: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rafael Brito · Casa Pia · 78′Richard Ríos · Benfica · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Casa Pia 0.35 xG · Benfica 1.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Casa Pia
2Draws
2Benfica
Benfica — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–2
Casa Pia — Benfica · Primeira Liga3–1
Benfica — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga3–0
Casa Pia — Benfica · Primeira Liga0–1
Benfica — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Casa Pia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Benfica in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Casa Pia29 matchesBenfica30 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored29/30▲ 2.17 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed29/30▲ 0.6 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals27/28▲ 1.91 xG/match
8.45 shots/matchShots29/30▲ 17.1 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target29/30▲ 6.03 shots/match
42.3%Possession29/30● 59.7%
3.41 corners/matchCorners29/30● 6.77 corners/match
3.12 cards/matchCards25/262.27 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls29/3011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCasa PiaBenfica
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCasa Pia — Benfica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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