Primeira Liga · 2025Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense 0–1 FC Arouca · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Arouca won 0–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.591.69
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arouca beat Moreirense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Moreirense – Arouca): shots 7–14, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.59–1.69, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Moreirense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Moreirense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.71 shots/match ▲ShotsMoreirense · Arouca10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseAroucaBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsMoreirense 7 shots, FC Arouca 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsMoreirense 2 shots, FC Arouca 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.69 xGMoreirense 0.59 xG, FC Arouca 1.69 xG
  • Possession49%51%Moreirense 49%, FC Arouca 51%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersMoreirense 3 corners, FC Arouca 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsMoreirense 11 fouls, FC Arouca 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsMoreirense 1 card, FC Arouca 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tiago Esgaio · Arouca · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJose Fontán · Arouca · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBas Kuipers · Arouca · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNile John · Moreirense · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 1′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJose Fontán · Arouca · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDylan Nandín · Arouca · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Travassos · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHyun-ju Lee · Arouca · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGilberto Batista · Moreirense · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDylan Nandín · Arouca · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTiago Esgaio · Arouca · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLanderson · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMaracás · Moreirense · 71′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedDylan Nandín · Arouca · 21′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Puche · Arouca · 67′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Moreirense: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.61 xG. Arouca: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Miguel Puche · Arouca · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Moreirense 0.61 xG · Arouca 1.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Moreirense
0Draws
1FC Arouca
FC Arouca — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–2
FC Arouca — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–0
Moreirense — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga3–1
Moreirense — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga1–0
FC Arouca — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Moreirense favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC Arouca in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Moreirense28 matchesFC Arouca29 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/291.93 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals27/270.94 xG/match
8.71 shots/matchShots28/29▲ 10.6 shots/match
3.32 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 3.52 shots/match
49.7%Possession28/29● 50.6%
3.68 corners/match ●Corners28/293.66 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards25/263.12 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2913.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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