PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória SC 1–2 Famalicão · Primeira Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 1–2.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.471.47
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicao beat Guimaraes 2–1. Recorded in this match (Guimaraes – Famalicao): shots 12–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.47–1.47, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Famalicao's recent record differs from the season

weak

Famalicao's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsVitória SC 12 shots, Famalicão 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsVitória SC 6 shots, Famalicão 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG1.47 xGVitória SC 0.47 xG, Famalicão 1.47 xG
  • Possession44%56%Vitória SC 44%, Famalicão 56%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersVitória SC 3 corners, Famalicão 11 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls13 foulsVitória SC 22 fouls, Famalicão 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardVitória SC 1 card, Famalicão 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sorriso · Famalicao · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 86′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarcos Peña · Famalicao · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Sá · Famalicao · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThiago Balieiro · Guimaraes · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin De Haas · Famalicao · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Sá · Famalicao · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Abascal · Guimaraes · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGil Dias · Famalicao · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSimon Elisor · Famalicao · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTony Strata · Guimaraes · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 23′ · 0.08 xG · goalSorriso · Famalicao · 47′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSorriso · Famalicao · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Ba · Famalicao · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Beney · Famalicao · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Famalicao · 47′ · 0.38 xG · goalJustin De Haas · Famalicao · 17′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Guimaraes: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.48 xG. Famalicao: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Samu · Guimaraes · 23′Justin De Haas · Famalicao · 17′Sorriso · Famalicao · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Guimaraes 0.48 xG · Famalicao 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Vitória SC
1Draws
1Famalicão
Famalicão — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–0
Famalicão — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–0
Vitória SC — Famalicão · Primeira Liga2–1
Vitória SC — Famalicão · Primeira Liga1–0
Famalicão — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Famalicão in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC27 matchesFamalicão28 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored27/281.29 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed27/28▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.31 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots27/2812.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target27/284.18 shots/match
49.7%Possession27/28● 52.1%
4.37 corners/matchCorners27/28● 5.29 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards25/252.64 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2816.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitória SCFamalicão
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headVitória SC — Famalicão
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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