Primeira Liga · 2025Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Famalicão 1–0 FC Arouca · Primeira Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 1–0.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.970.89
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicao beat Arouca 1–0. Recorded in this match (Famalicao – Arouca): shots 12–10, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.97–0.89, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arouca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arouca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Arouca show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Arouca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFamalicao · Arouca10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFamalicaoAroucaBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsFamalicão 12 shots, FC Arouca 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsFamalicão 6 shots, FC Arouca 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG0.89 xGFamalicão 0.97 xG, FC Arouca 0.89 xG
  • Possession55%45%Famalicão 55%, FC Arouca 45%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerFamalicão 5 corners, FC Arouca 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsFamalicão 12 fouls, FC Arouca 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardFamalicão 1 card, FC Arouca 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Taichi Fukui · Arouca · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Pinheiro · Famalicao · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEspen Van Ee · Arouca · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDylan Nandín · Arouca · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRodrigo Pinheiro · Famalicao · 82′ · 0.01 xG · goalBas Kuipers · Arouca · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIvan Barbero · Arouca · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Beney · Famalicao · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGil Dias · Famalicao · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetUmar Abubakar · Famalicao · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Sá · Famalicao · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHyun-ju Lee · Arouca · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDylan Nandín · Arouca · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBoris Popović · Arouca · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicao · 73′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLéo Realpe · Famalicao · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRomeo Beney · Famalicao · 79′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSimon Elisor · Famalicao · 16′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGil Dias · Famalicao · 53′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Famalicao · 19′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAlfonso Trezza · Arouca · 68′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Famalicao: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.95 xG. Arouca: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Rodrigo Pinheiro · Famalicao · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Famalicao 0.95 xG · Arouca 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Famalicão
2Draws
1FC Arouca
FC Arouca — Famalicão · Primeira Liga1–1
FC Arouca — Famalicão · Primeira Liga1–2
Famalicão — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga0–0
FC Arouca — Famalicão · Primeira Liga3–2
Famalicão — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Famalicão favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · FC Arouca in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Famalicão27 matchesFC Arouca27 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/272 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.85 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots27/2710.4 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.48 shots/match
52% ●Possession27/2751%
5.07 corners/match ●Corners27/273.59 corners/match
2.64 cards/matchCards25/253 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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