Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela 2–2 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

Tondela

LDDDW
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tondela and Santa Clara drew 2–2.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.621.69
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tondela and Santa Clara drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Tondela – Santa Clara): shots 11–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.62–1.69, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tondela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tondela's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tondela show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tondela's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsTondela · Santa Clara12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTondelaSanta ClaraBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match9.24 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsTondela 11 shots, Santa Clara 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsTondela 4 shots, Santa Clara 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.69 xGTondela 1.62 xG, Santa Clara 1.69 xG
  • Possession42%58%Tondela 42%, Santa Clara 58%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersTondela 4 corners, Santa Clara 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsTondela 15 fouls, Santa Clara 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsTondela 3 cards, Santa Clara 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sidney Lima · Santa Clara · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBebeto · Tondela · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Calila · Santa Clara · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHenrique Silva · Santa Clara · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 15′ · 0.02 xG · goalGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrayan Medina · Tondela · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHenrique Silva · Santa Clara · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRony Lopes · Tondela · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Fernando · Santa Clara · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRony Lopes · Tondela · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMakan Aïko · Tondela · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenrique Silva · Santa Clara · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosé Tavares · Santa Clara · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Conceição · Tondela · 60′ · 0.04 xG · goalMakan Aïko · Tondela · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBrayan Medina · Tondela · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChristian Marques · Tondela · 75′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Romão · Santa Clara · 58′ · 0.39 xG · on targetMaranhão · Tondela · 5′ · 0.43 xG · on targetBebeto · Tondela · 10′ · 0.82 xG · goalSerginho · Santa Clara · 88′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tondela: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.67 xG. Santa Clara: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bebeto · Tondela · 10′Rodrigo Conceição · Tondela · 60′Gabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 15′Serginho · Santa Clara · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tondela 1.67 xG · Santa Clara 1.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Tondela
1Draws
0Santa Clara
Santa Clara — Tondela · Primeira Liga1–2
Santa Clara — Tondela · Primeira Liga2–2
Tondela — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tondela favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tondela25 matchesSanta Clara25 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored25/250.88 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.12 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target25/253.44 shots/match
41.7%Possession25/25● 49.4%
3.88 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.72 corners/match
2.92 cards/matchCards24/243.33 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2514.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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