PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting 3–0 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 3–0.

Shots
166
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.30.19
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Casa Pia 3–0. Recorded in this match (Sporting CP – Casa Pia): shots 16–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.3–0.19, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting CP · Casa Pia8.63 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPCasa PiaBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match8.63 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against8.42 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sporting CP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sporting CP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.95 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sporting CP have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.3% ●PossessionSporting CP · Casa Pia45.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPCasa PiaBaseline
Possession62.3%45.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsSporting 16 shots, Casa Pia 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotSporting 4 shots, Casa Pia 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.3 xG0.19 xGSporting 2.3 xG, Casa Pia 0.19 xG
  • Possession61%39%Sporting 61%, Casa Pia 39%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSporting 4 corners, Casa Pia 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsSporting 12 fouls, Casa Pia 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsSporting 0 cards, Casa Pia 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKelian Nsona · Casa Pia · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Simões · Sporting CP · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeno Debast · Sporting CP · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 38′ · 0.03 xG · goalJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTiago Morais · Casa Pia · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSebastián Pérez · Casa Pia · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRenato Nhaga · Casa Pia · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIván Fresneda · Sporting CP · 27′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 78′ · 0.28 xG · goalFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 47′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 43′ · 0.40 xG · goalLuis Guilherme · Sporting CP · 34′ · 0.78 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting CP: 16 shots, 4 on target, 2.36 xG. Casa Pia: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Geny Catamo · Sporting CP · 38′Geny Catamo · Sporting CP · 43′Daniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting CP 2.36 xG · Casa Pia 0.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Sporting
0Draws
0Casa Pia
Casa Pia — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–2
Casa Pia — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–3
Sporting — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–0
Sporting — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga8–0
Casa Pia — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Casa Pia in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting19 matchesCasa Pia19 matches
2.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191 goal/match
0.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.84 goals/match
2.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.84 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots19/198.63 shots/match
7.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/192.95 shots/match
62.3% ●Possession19/1945.8%
6.89 corners/match ●Corners19/194 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards18/183.22 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1915.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSportingCasa Pia
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting — Casa Pia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required