Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória SC 1–4 Sporting · Primeira Liga

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 1–4.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.732.58
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Guimaraes 4–1. Recorded in this match (Guimaraes – Sporting CP): shots 17–16, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.73–2.58, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guimaraes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guimaraes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsGuimaraes · Sporting CP19.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesSporting CPBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match19.6 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match8.13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.75 corners/matchCornersGuimaraes · Sporting CP● 7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesSporting CPBaseline
Corners4.75 corners/match7 corners/match4.13 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsVitória SC 17 shots, Sporting 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsVitória SC 5 shots, Sporting 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG2.58 xGVitória SC 0.73 xG, Sporting 2.58 xG
  • Possession43%57%Vitória SC 43%, Sporting 57%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersVitória SC 2 corners, Sporting 5 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls14 foulsVitória SC 21 fouls, Sporting 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsVitória SC 3 cards, Sporting 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Mendes · Guimaraes · 23′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThiago Balieiro · Guimaraes · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIván Fresneda · Sporting CP · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 50′ · 0.02 xG · goalDiogo Sousa · Guimaraes · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Quaresma · Sporting CP · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFabio Blanco · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoão Simões · Sporting CP · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 42′ · 0.06 xG · goalAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMorten Hjulmand · Sporting CP · 14′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSamu · Guimaraes · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJuan Castillo · Sporting CP · 63′ · 0.10 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 79′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Mangas · Sporting CP · 10′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedIván Fresneda · Sporting CP · 69′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 32′ · 0.45 xG · goalMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 79′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Guimaraes: 17 shots, 5 on target, 0.70 xG. Sporting CP: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Telmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 50′Francisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 32′Fotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 42′Juan Castillo · Sporting CP · 63′Maximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Guimaraes 0.70 xG · Sporting CP 2.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vitória SC
1Draws
3Sporting
Sporting — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–0
Vitória SC — Sporting · Primeira Liga4–4
Sporting — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga3–0
Vitória SC — Sporting · Primeira Liga3–2
Vitória SC — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC16 matchesSporting16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 3 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 2.34 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 19.6 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 8 shots/match
48.5%Possession16/16● 62.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/16● 7 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCards15/152.4 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 24 Dec 2025, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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