Primeira Liga · 2025FC Alverca Sports Complex

FC Alverca 0–3 FC Porto · Primeira Liga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Porto won 0–3.

Shots
814
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.731.45
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Porto beat Alverca 3–0. Recorded in this match (Alverca – FC Porto): shots 8–14, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.73–1.45, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alverca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alverca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Alverca show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Alverca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAlverca · FC Porto14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlvercaFC PortoBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match14.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match9.47 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Porto have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.9%PossessionAlverca · FC Porto● 55.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAlvercaFC PortoBaseline
Possession44.9%55.6%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsFC Alverca 8 shots, FC Porto 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsFC Alverca 5 shots, FC Porto 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG1.45 xGFC Alverca 0.73 xG, FC Porto 1.45 xG
  • Possession40%60%FC Alverca 40%, FC Porto 60%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerFC Alverca 4 corners, FC Porto 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsFC Alverca 8 fouls, FC Porto 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardFC Alverca 1 card, FC Porto 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Martim Fernandes · FC Porto · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexsandro Amorim · Alverca · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPablo Rosario · FC Porto · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 69′ · 0.05 xG · goalGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNabil Touaizi · Alverca · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 47′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPepê · FC Porto · 57′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVictor Froholdt · FC Porto · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTiago Leite · Alverca · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTiago Leite · Alverca · 72′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 66′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 88′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 29′ · 0.18 xG · goalMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 38′ · 0.40 xG · on targetAlan Varela · FC Porto · 57′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alverca: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.81 xG. FC Porto: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Borja Sainz · FC Porto · 29′Alan Varela · FC Porto · 57′Borja Sainz · FC Porto · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alverca 0.81 xG · FC Porto 1.49 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Alverca favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Porto in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Alverca16 matchesFC Porto15 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲ 2.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲ 0.27 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.81 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots16/15▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲ 5.8 shots/match
44.9%Possession16/15● 55.6%
3.19 corners/matchCorners16/15● 5 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards15/152.4 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1513.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 22 Dec 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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