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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sporting Braga 4–0 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 4–0.

Shots
153
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
2.710.19
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Braga beat Casa Pia 4–0. Recorded in this match (SC Braga – Casa Pia): shots 15–3, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 2.71–0.19, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Braga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Braga · Casa Pia9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaCasa PiaBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match9.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.1% ●PossessionSC Braga · Casa Pia45.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaCasa PiaBaseline
Possession66.1%45.3%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots3 shotsSporting Braga 15 shots, Casa Pia 3 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotSporting Braga 8 shots, Casa Pia 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.71 xG0.19 xGSporting Braga 2.71 xG, Casa Pia 0.19 xG
  • Possession60%40%Sporting Braga 60%, Casa Pia 40%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersSporting Braga 4 corners, Casa Pia 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsSporting Braga 16 fouls, Casa Pia 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsSporting Braga 1 card, Casa Pia 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Moutinho · SC Braga · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDiego Rodrigues · SC Braga · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJean-Baptiste Gorby · SC Braga · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Dorgeles · SC Braga · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDailon Rocha Livramento · Casa Pia · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMario Dorgeles · SC Braga · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 24′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 69′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 17′ · 0.25 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 5′ · 0.26 xG · goalGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 8′ · 0.35 xG · goalMario Dorgeles · SC Braga · 48′ · 0.66 xG · goalRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 57′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Braga: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.81 xG. Casa Pia: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ricardo Horta · SC Braga · 5′Gustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 8′Mario Dorgeles · SC Braga · 48′Rodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Braga 2.81 xG · Casa Pia 0.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sporting Braga
0Draws
2Casa Pia
Casa Pia — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–1
Sporting Braga — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting Braga — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga4–3
Casa Pia — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–3
Casa Pia — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Casa Pia in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga10 matchesCasa Pia10 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.94 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/109.6 shots/match
5.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
66.1% ●Possession10/1045.3%
6.4 corners/match ●Corners10/103.9 corners/match
1.89 cards/matchCards9/93.44 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Oct 2025, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSporting BragaCasa Pia
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting Braga — Casa Pia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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