PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente 2–0 Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gil Vicente won 2–0.

Shots
167
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.390.32
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

GIL Vicente beat Estoril 2–0. Recorded in this match (GIL Vicente – Estoril): shots 16–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.39–0.32, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

GIL Vicente show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

GIL Vicente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsGIL Vicente · Estoril13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGIL VicenteEstorilBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsGil Vicente 16 shots, Estoril Praia 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsGil Vicente 3 shots, Estoril Praia 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG0.32 xGGil Vicente 2.39 xG, Estoril Praia 0.32 xG
  • Possession52%48%Gil Vicente 52%, Estoril Praia 48%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersGil Vicente 4 corners, Estoril Praia 0 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsGil Vicente 16 fouls, Estoril Praia 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsGil Vicente 2 cards, Estoril Praia 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafik Guitane · Estoril · 29′ · 0.01 xG · on targetZé Carlos · GIL Vicente · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick de Paula · Estoril · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick de Paula · Estoril · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Elimbi Gilbert · GIL Vicente · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMurilo · GIL Vicente · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSanti García · GIL Vicente · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMurilo · GIL Vicente · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMurilo · GIL Vicente · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Elimbi Gilbert · GIL Vicente · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMurilo · GIL Vicente · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndré Lacximicant · Estoril · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Moreira · GIL Vicente · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Cáseres · GIL Vicente · 64′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 77′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFabrício Garcia · Estoril · 53′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMarvin Elimbi Gilbert · GIL Vicente · 64′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMurilo · GIL Vicente · 4′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedJoelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 86′ · 0.49 xG · goalPablo Felipe · GIL Vicente · 15′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

GIL Vicente: 16 shots, 3 on target, 2.53 xG. Estoril: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Pablo Felipe · GIL Vicente · 15′Joelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: GIL Vicente 2.53 xG · Estoril 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Gil Vicente
1Draws
2Estoril Praia
Gil Vicente — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga1–2
Estoril Praia — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga0–0
Estoril Praia — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–3
Gil Vicente — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga5–3
Estoril Praia — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gil Vicente favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Estoril Praia in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gil Vicente6 matchesEstoril Praia7 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71.57 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.1 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/713.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
45.2%Possession6/7● 52.6%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners6/72.43 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/63.5 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGil VicenteEstoril Praia
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headGil Vicente — Estoril Praia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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