La Liga · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

DWDDL

0–2Full-time recap

Valencia

WLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Valencia
Shots	13 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.36 xG/match	1.81 xG/match▲
Possession	59%	41%
Corners	1 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.1 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.93 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.93 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sevilla

1Draws

0Valencia

7 Dec 2025Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Valencia in 4 · 7 too close

1.28 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.1 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/29▲1.45 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/2911.3 shots/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2911.9 shots/match

3.76 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/293 shots/match

4.48 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/29▲4.14 shots/match

53.3%Possessionseason · 29/2949.2%

4.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/295.17 corners/match

4.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/294.62 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲2.15 cards/match

14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2911.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲28%

79%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2976%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5

Valencia42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla39.2

Valencia25.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla39.2

Valencia57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla12.5

Valencia27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla93.8

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla57.5

Valencia67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla52.5

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

52.8%Possession5/553%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match

50.8%Possession10/1049.7%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

2.38 cards/matchCards8/82.5 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

1.28 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.1 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲1.45 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.3 shots/matchShots29/2911.3 shots/match

3.76 shots/match▲Shots on target29/293 shots/match

53.3%Possession29/2949.2%

4.79 corners/matchCorners29/295.17 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards27/272.15 cards/match

14.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match

1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.8 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

10.9 shots/match▲Shots15/158.93 shots/match

3.73 shots/match▲Shots on target15/152.53 shots/match

53.7%Possession15/1546.8%

4.67 corners/matchCorners15/153.93 corners/match

3.14 cards/matchCards14/132.31 cards/match

15.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4