PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeCampo de Futbol de VallecasFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelona
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession43%57%●
Corners9 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.33 corners/matchCornersRayo Vallecano · Barcelona●7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelonaBaseline
Corners6.33 corners/match7 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Barcelona20.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelonaBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match20.7 shots/match10.9 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.7%PossessionRayo Vallecano · Barcelona●70%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelonaBaseline
Possession52.7%70%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32.33 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/320.7 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/38 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/37 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34 shots/match
52.7%Possessionseason · 3/3●70%
6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●7 corners/match
3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano62.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano60.8
Barcelona94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano65
Barcelona61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano42.5
Barcelona87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano93.8
Barcelona20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano65
Barcelona82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano70
Barcelona76.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano3 matchesBarcelona3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2.33 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲20.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲7 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/3●70%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●7 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rayo Vallecano1 matchesBarcelona3 matches
—Goals scored1/32.33 goals/match
—Goals allowed1/31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots1/320.7 shots/match
—Shots on target1/37 shots/match
—Possession1/370%
—Corners1/37 corners/match
—Cards1/31 cards/match
—Fouls1/311 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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