PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 1–2 Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 1–2.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.120.95
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat Cercle Brugge 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Club Brugge KV): shots 18–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.12–0.95, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · Club Brugge KV16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match12 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Club Brugge KV have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.9%PossessionCercle Brugge · Club Brugge KV● 63.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeClub Brugge KVBaseline
Possession46.9%63.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsCercle Brugge 18 shots, Club Brugge KV 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCercle Brugge 5 shots, Club Brugge KV 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.95 xGCercle Brugge 1.12 xG, Club Brugge KV 0.95 xG
  • Possession37%63%Cercle Brugge 37%, Club Brugge KV 63%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersCercle Brugge 2 corners, Club Brugge KV 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsCercle Brugge 9 fouls, Club Brugge KV 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsCercle Brugge 1 card, Club Brugge KV 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Flávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 66′ · 0.01 xG · on targetShandre Campbell · Club Brugge KV · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 71′ · 0.01 xG · goalFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDante Vanzeir · Cercle Brugge · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 54′ · 0.06 xG · goalGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 37′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 71′ · 0.14 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 9′ · 0.15 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 40′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 5′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 51′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.13 xG. Club Brugge KV: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Flávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 71′Nicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 51′Carlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 1.13 xG · Club Brugge KV 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cercle Brugge
2Draws
3Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–0
Cercle Brugge — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League1–3
Club Brugge KV — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–0
Club Brugge KV — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0
Cercle Brugge — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge26 matchesClub Brugge KV27 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲ 2 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed26/27▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.56 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots26/27▲ 16.5 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 5.48 shots/match
46.9%Possession26/27● 63.1%
4.38 corners/matchCorners26/27● 6.3 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards25/251.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls26/279.56 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeClub Brugge KV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — Club Brugge KV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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