PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 1–0 RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 1–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
0.940.78
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat Charleroi 1–0. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Charleroi): shots 11–7, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 0.94–0.78, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charleroi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Mechelen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KV Mechelen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · Charleroi10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenCharleroiBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsKV Mechelen 11 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsKV Mechelen 4 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.78 xGKV Mechelen 0.94 xG, RC Sporting Charleroi 0.78 xG
  • Possession54%46%KV Mechelen 54%, RC Sporting Charleroi 46%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersKV Mechelen 7 corners, RC Sporting Charleroi 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsKV Mechelen 11 fouls, RC Sporting Charleroi 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsKV Mechelen 4 cards, RC Sporting Charleroi 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewin Blum · Charleroi · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDikeni Salifou · KV Mechelen · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 88′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMardochee Nzita · Charleroi · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLewin Blum · Charleroi · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 15′ · 0.16 xG · goalKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 30′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 23′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 74′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.93 xG. Charleroi: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Thérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 0.93 xG · Charleroi 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KV Mechelen
1Draws
1RC Sporting Charleroi
RC Sporting Charleroi — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–2
KV Mechelen — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
KV Mechelen — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · RC Sporting Charleroi in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen18 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi18 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.17 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.28 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.11 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots18/1810.8 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.83 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession18/1847.7%
4.78 corners/match ●Corners18/184.67 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards17/172.18 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRC Sporting Charleroi
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — RC Sporting Charleroi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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