PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 1–1 Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge and Sint-Truidense VV drew 1–1.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.972.21
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – St. Truiden): shots 13–17, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.97–2.21, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

St. Truiden show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

St. Truiden's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · St. Truiden14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeSt. TruidenBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match14.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match8.29 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

St. Truiden have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.9%PossessionCercle Brugge · St. Truiden● 55.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeSt. TruidenBaseline
Possession45.9%55.6%51.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsCercle Brugge 13 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCercle Brugge 4 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG2.21 xGCercle Brugge 0.97 xG, Sint-Truidense VV 2.21 xG
  • Possession51%49%Cercle Brugge 51%, Sint-Truidense VV 49%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersCercle Brugge 3 corners, Sint-Truidense VV 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsCercle Brugge 8 fouls, Sint-Truidense VV 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardCercle Brugge 2 cards, Sint-Truidense VV 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Louis Patris · St. Truiden · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 38′ · 0.03 xG · goalLouis Patris · St. Truiden · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrés Ferrari · St. Truiden · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 40′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 51′ · 0.10 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 75′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 25′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrés Ferrari · St. Truiden · 17′ · 0.21 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 85′ · 0.21 xG · on targetLouis Patris · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 47′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 30′ · 0.36 xG · goalTaiga Hata · St. Truiden · 17′ · 0.91 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.28 xG. St. Truiden: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 30′Ilias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 1.28 xG · St. Truiden 2.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cercle Brugge
2Draws
1Sint-Truidense VV
Cercle Brugge — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League3–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge7 matchesSint-Truidense VV7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.85 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.43 shots/match
45.9%Possession7/7● 55.6%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/61.17 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Aug 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeSint-Truidense VV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — Sint-Truidense VV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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