Serie A · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 10:30 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

Torino

LWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremoneseTorino
Shots14 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.77 xG/match0.16 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners6 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cremonese
0Draws
1Torino
TorinoCremonese · Serie A10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 9 · 3 too close

0.79 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.12 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.64 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.43 xG/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/50.88 xG/match
9.15 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3311.7 shots/match
16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3313.6 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.12 shots/match
5.27 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/334.33 shots/match
46.5%Possessionseason · 33/3343.9%
3.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/333.79 corners/match
6.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/334.61 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/282.07 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3314.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3336%
52%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese42.5
Torino17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese15
Torino49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese8.3
Torino20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Torino77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese63.8
Torino70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese2.5
Torino27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese22.5
Torino56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.43 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/543.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
Cards1/0
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.43 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots10/1010.7 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
48.8%Possession10/1043%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards6/53.4 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.12 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.64 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.43 xG/match
9.15 shots/matchShots33/3311.7 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target33/334.12 shots/match
46.5%Possession33/3343.9%
3.3 corners/matchCorners33/333.79 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards29/282.07 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3314.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/170.94 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/171.76 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.41 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots16/1711.2 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target16/173.88 shots/match
46.3%Possession16/1742.1%
3.5 corners/matchCorners16/173.59 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1714.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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