PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

LDDDD
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaCremonese
Shots13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession38%62%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cremonese. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cremonese.

5.24 days▲Rest daysPisa · Cremonese6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPisaCremoneseBaseline
Rest days5.24 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 4 · 5 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.09 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.18 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.73 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/118.09 shots/match
15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1116.5 shots/match
2.45 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲3.09 shots/match
4.64 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115.27 shots/match
38.6%Possessionseason · 11/1146%
3.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/112.91 corners/match
5.45 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/116.45 corners/match
1.91 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/112.18 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%
45%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa7.5
Cremonese32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa12.5
Cremonese24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa22.5
Cremonese20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa62.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa45
Cremonese37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa22.5
Cremonese7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa20
Cremonese13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
41%Possession5/549.2%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/match▲Shots10/108.5 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.1 shots/match
39.1%Possession10/1047%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/103 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.09 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.18 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.73 shots/match▲Shots11/118.09 shots/match
2.45 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲3.09 shots/match
38.6%Possession11/1146%
3.27 corners/matchCorners11/112.91 corners/match
1.91 cards/matchCards11/112.18 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
0.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/match▲Shots6/67.67 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲2.67 shots/match
43%Possession6/645.7%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/62.5 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPisaCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Pisa vs Cremonese — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath