PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 15 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoGenoa
Shots13 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession53%47%
Corners0 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match▲ShotsComo · Genoa9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoGenoaBaseline
Shots15 shots/match9 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.7 fouls/match▲FoulsComo · Genoa15.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricComoGenoaBaseline
Fouls15.7 fouls/match15.7 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

60%▲PossessionComo · Genoa50%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoGenoaBaseline
Possession60%50%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.33 shots/match
60%Possessionseason · 3/350%
3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/34.67 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/33.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/315.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como87.5
Genoa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como58.3
Genoa20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como74.2
Genoa79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como52.5
Genoa7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como87.5
Genoa67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como17.5
Genoa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como55.6
Genoa44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
60%Possession3/350%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
60%Possession3/350%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
60%Possession3/350%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 1 matches
—Goals scored2/1—
—Goals allowed2/1—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/1—
—Shots on target2/1—
—Possession2/1—
—Corners2/1—
—Cards2/1—
—Fouls2/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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