PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport Recife 2–2 São Paulo · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife and São Paulo drew 2–2.

Shots
818
Shots on target
58
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife and Sao Paulo drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Sao Paulo): shots 8–18, shots on target 5–8, possession 34%–66%, corners 4–10. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsSport Recife 8 shots, São Paulo 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsSport Recife 5 shots, São Paulo 8 shots
  • Possession34%66%Sport Recife 34%, São Paulo 66%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersSport Recife 4 corners, São Paulo 10 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls19 foulsSport Recife 17 fouls, São Paulo 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardSport Recife 4 cards, São Paulo 1 card
  • Passes242 passes492 passesSport Recife 242 passes, São Paulo 492 passes
  • Pass accuracy69%85%Sport Recife 69%, São Paulo 85%
  • Shots inside box7 shots10 shotsSport Recife 7 shots, São Paulo 10 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks5 blocksSport Recife 0 blocks, São Paulo 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesSport Recife 5 saves, São Paulo 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideSport Recife 0 offsides, São Paulo 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
1Draws
0São Paulo
São Paulo — Sport Recife · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife18 matchesSão Paulo20 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored18/20▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed18/20▲ 1.1 goals/match
12.8 shots/matchShots18/2013 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/203.8 shots/match
46.4%Possession18/20● 51.5%
6 corners/match ●Corners18/204.8 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards18/202.85 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls18/2015 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Aug 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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