PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo 2–0 Vitória · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 2–0.

Shots
235
Shots on target
31
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sao Paulo beat Vitoria 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Vitoria): shots 23–5, shots on target 3–1, possession 56%–44%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sao Paulo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sao Paulo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSao Paulo · Vitoria12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSao PauloVitoriaBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots5 shotsSão Paulo 23 shots, Vitória 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotSão Paulo 3 shots, Vitória 1 shot
  • Possession56%44%São Paulo 56%, Vitória 44%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 4 corners, Vitória 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsSão Paulo 16 fouls, Vitória 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsSão Paulo 3 cards, Vitória 3 cards
  • Passes480 passes368 passesSão Paulo 480 passes, Vitória 368 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%80%São Paulo 87%, Vitória 80%
  • Shots inside box16 shots4 shotsSão Paulo 16 shots, Vitória 4 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks2 blocksSão Paulo 9 blocks, Vitória 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveSão Paulo 1 save, Vitória 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesSão Paulo 0 offsides, Vitória 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2São Paulo
0Draws
0Vitória
São Paulo — Vitória · Serie A2–1
Vitória — São Paulo · Serie A1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo19 matchesVitória19 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.84 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.16 goals/match
12.7 shots/matchShots19/1912.3 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.42 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession19/1943.7%
4.53 corners/matchCorners19/19● 4.89 corners/match
2.95 cards/matchCards19/192.89 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1915.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Aug 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloVitória
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Vitória
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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