PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Internacional 1–2 São Paulo · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–2.

Shots
119
Shots on target
44
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sao Paulo beat Internacional 2–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Sao Paulo): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–4, possession 52%–48%, corners 4–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Internacional have a visible home split

moderate

Internacional's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsInternacional 11 shots, São Paulo 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsInternacional 4 shots, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Possession52%48%Internacional 52%, São Paulo 48%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersInternacional 4 corners, São Paulo 5 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls19 foulsInternacional 23 fouls, São Paulo 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsInternacional 2 cards, São Paulo 2 cards
  • Passes468 passes437 passesInternacional 468 passes, São Paulo 437 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%83%Internacional 83%, São Paulo 83%
  • Shots inside box5 shots8 shotsInternacional 5 shots, São Paulo 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksInternacional 4 blocks, São Paulo 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesInternacional 2 saves, São Paulo 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesInternacional 0 offsides, São Paulo 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Internacional
1Draws
1São Paulo
São Paulo — Internacional · Serie A1–3
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A0–0
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A2–1
São Paulo — Internacional · Serie A2–0
São Paulo — Internacional · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional17 matchesSão Paulo18 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/181.11 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/18▲ 1.11 goals/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1812.2 shots/match
4.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/183.61 shots/match
53% ●Possession17/1850.4%
5.65 corners/match ●Corners17/184.56 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards17/182.94 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1814.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Aug 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headInternacional — São Paulo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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