PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Neo Quimica Arena

Corinthians 1–2 Bahia · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Bahia

WDWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 1–2.

Shots
258
Shots on target
75
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Corinthians 2–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Bahia): shots 25–8, shots on target 7–5, possession 66%–34%, corners 9–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians have a visible home split

moderate

Corinthians's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots8 shotsCorinthians 25 shots, Bahia 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsCorinthians 7 shots, Bahia 5 shots
  • Possession66%34%Corinthians 66%, Bahia 34%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerCorinthians 9 corners, Bahia 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls21 foulsCorinthians 15 fouls, Bahia 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsCorinthians 2 cards, Bahia 3 cards
  • Passes485 passes264 passesCorinthians 485 passes, Bahia 264 passes
  • Pass accuracy89%76%Corinthians 89%, Bahia 76%
  • Shots inside box15 shots4 shotsCorinthians 15 shots, Bahia 4 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockCorinthians 5 blocks, Bahia 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesCorinthians 3 saves, Bahia 6 saves
  • Offsides6 offsides1 offsideCorinthians 6 offsides, Bahia 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Corinthians
2Draws
1Bahia
Bahia — Corinthians · Serie A1–1
Corinthians — Bahia · Serie A3–0
Bahia — Corinthians · Serie A0–1
Corinthians — Bahia · Serie A1–5
Bahia — Corinthians · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians20 matchesBahia18 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored20/18▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed20/18▲ 0.94 goals/match
11.6 shots/matchShots20/18▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target20/18▲ 3.94 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession20/1854.6%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners20/184.5 corners/match
2.95 cards/matchCards20/182.33 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls20/1812.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansBahia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headCorinthians — Bahia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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