Serie A · 2025Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo 3–1 Fluminense · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 3–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
91
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sao Paulo beat Fluminense 3–1. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Fluminense): shots 15–7, shots on target 9–1, possession 47%–53%, corners 7–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sao Paulo, Fluminense.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysSao Paulo · Fluminense3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSao PauloFluminenseBaseline
Rest days2.88 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fluminense have a visible away split

moderate

Fluminense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 15 shots, Fluminense 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotSão Paulo 9 shots, Fluminense 1 shot
  • Possession47%53%São Paulo 47%, Fluminense 53%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 7 corners, Fluminense 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsSão Paulo 13 fouls, Fluminense 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsSão Paulo 3 cards, Fluminense 4 cards
  • Passes414 passes471 passesSão Paulo 414 passes, Fluminense 471 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%88%São Paulo 84%, Fluminense 88%
  • Shots inside box9 shots3 shotsSão Paulo 9 shots, Fluminense 3 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksSão Paulo 3 blocks, Fluminense 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves5 savesSão Paulo 0 saves, Fluminense 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesSão Paulo 3 offsides, Fluminense 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2São Paulo
0Draws
3Fluminense
Fluminense — São Paulo · Serie A2–0
São Paulo — Fluminense · Serie A2–1
Fluminense — São Paulo · Serie A1–0
São Paulo — Fluminense · Serie A1–0
Fluminense — São Paulo · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo17 matchesFluminense15 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/151.33 goals/match
12.4 shots/matchShots17/1513 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/153.67 shots/match
50.6%Possession17/15● 54.9%
4.53 corners/match ●Corners17/154.47 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards17/151.73 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Jul 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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