PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio do Maracanã

Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 1–2.

Shots
179
Shots on target
15
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Fluminense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Palmeiras): shots 17–9, shots on target 1–5, possession 54%–46%, corners 5–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fluminense, Palmeiras.

2.98 days ▲Rest daysFluminense · Palmeiras3.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFluminensePalmeirasBaseline
Rest days2.98 days3.06 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fluminense have a visible home split

moderate

Fluminense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsFluminense 17 shots, Palmeiras 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsFluminense 1 shot, Palmeiras 5 shots
  • Possession54%46%Fluminense 54%, Palmeiras 46%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersFluminense 5 corners, Palmeiras 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsFluminense 13 fouls, Palmeiras 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsFluminense 1 card, Palmeiras 2 cards
  • Passes451 passes389 passesFluminense 451 passes, Palmeiras 389 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%86%Fluminense 82%, Palmeiras 86%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsFluminense 11 shots, Palmeiras 8 shots
  • Blocked shots10 blocks3 blocksFluminense 10 blocks, Palmeiras 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves0 savesFluminense 2 saves, Palmeiras 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideFluminense 0 offsides, Palmeiras 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fluminense
1Draws
1Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Fluminense · Serie A0–1
Fluminense — Palmeiras · Serie A1–0
Palmeiras — Fluminense · Serie A1–0
Fluminense — Palmeiras · Serie A2–1
Fluminense — Palmeiras · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense14 matchesPalmeiras14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.86 goals/match
13.4 shots/matchShots14/1413.9 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target14/144 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession14/1449.9%
4.57 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.29 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 24 Jul 2025, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFluminensePalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headFluminense — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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