PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza 0–1 Ceará · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Ceará

WDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 0–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
03
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceara beat Fortaleza EC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza EC – Ceara): shots 13–14, shots on target 0–3, possession 60%–40%, corners 3–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza EC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza EC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsFortaleza 13 shots, Ceará 14 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots3 shotsFortaleza 0 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Possession60%40%Fortaleza 60%, Ceará 40%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersFortaleza 3 corners, Ceará 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsFortaleza 12 fouls, Ceará 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsFortaleza 2 cards, Ceará 4 cards
  • Passes400 passes268 passesFortaleza 400 passes, Ceará 268 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%65%Fortaleza 76%, Ceará 65%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsFortaleza 7 shots, Ceará 8 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks3 blocksFortaleza 8 blocks, Ceará 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves0 savesFortaleza 2 saves, Ceará 0 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides4 offsidesFortaleza 5 offsides, Ceará 4 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fortaleza
0Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1
Fortaleza — Ceará · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza13 matchesCeará12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲ 0.92 goals/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/1211.3 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target13/123.83 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession13/1240.3%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners13/123.58 corners/match
2.85 cards/matchCards13/122.17 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1214.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Jul 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headFortaleza — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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