PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro 4–1 Grêmio · Serie A

4–1Historical match

Grêmio

DLWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 4–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
92
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Gremio 4–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Gremio): shots 17–11, shots on target 9–2, possession 46%–54%, corners 6–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cruzeiro's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cruzeiro show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cruzeiro's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCruzeiro · Gremio11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroGremioBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsCruzeiro 17 shots, Grêmio 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsCruzeiro 9 shots, Grêmio 2 shots
  • Possession46%54%Cruzeiro 46%, Grêmio 54%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersCruzeiro 6 corners, Grêmio 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsCruzeiro 14 fouls, Grêmio 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsCruzeiro 4 cards, Grêmio 2 cards
  • Passes361 passes429 passesCruzeiro 361 passes, Grêmio 429 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%85%Cruzeiro 83%, Grêmio 85%
  • Shots inside box11 shots6 shotsCruzeiro 11 shots, Grêmio 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksCruzeiro 3 blocks, Grêmio 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save5 savesCruzeiro 1 save, Grêmio 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideCruzeiro 1 offside, Grêmio 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cruzeiro
1Draws
1Grêmio
Cruzeiro — Grêmio · Serie A1–1
Grêmio — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–2
Grêmio — Cruzeiro · Serie A3–0
Cruzeiro — Grêmio · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro13 matchesGrêmio13 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
0.69 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.5 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134.15 shots/match
45.4% ●Possession13/1343.8%
5.77 corners/match ●Corners13/134.23 corners/match
2.77 cards/matchCards13/133.15 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Jul 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Grêmio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required