PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo 1–3 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 1–3.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
39
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco DA Gama beat Sao Paulo 3–1. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Vasco DA Gama): shots 11–14, shots on target 3–9, possession 51%–49%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco DA Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco DA Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsSão Paulo 11 shots, Vasco da Gama 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsSão Paulo 3 shots, Vasco da Gama 9 shots
  • Possession51%49%São Paulo 51%, Vasco da Gama 49%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 4 corners, Vasco da Gama 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls17 foulsSão Paulo 18 fouls, Vasco da Gama 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsSão Paulo 4 cards, Vasco da Gama 2 cards
  • Passes471 passes457 passesSão Paulo 471 passes, Vasco da Gama 457 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%84%São Paulo 85%, Vasco da Gama 84%
  • Shots inside box4 shots8 shotsSão Paulo 4 shots, Vasco da Gama 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockSão Paulo 3 blocks, Vasco da Gama 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves2 savesSão Paulo 6 saves, Vasco da Gama 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideSão Paulo 0 offsides, Vasco da Gama 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2São Paulo
1Draws
1Vasco da Gama
São Paulo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A3–0
Vasco da Gama — São Paulo · Serie A4–1
Vasco da Gama — São Paulo · Serie A0–0
São Paulo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo12 matchesVasco da Gama12 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
11.9 shots/matchShots12/1212.3 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.67 shots/match
50.8%Possession12/12● 52.8%
4.25 corners/match ●Corners12/123.75 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards12/122.17 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Jun 2025, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Vasco da Gama
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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