PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia 2–1 São Paulo · Serie A

Bahia

WWLWL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 2–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
74
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Sao Paulo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Sao Paulo): shots 13–14, shots on target 7–4, possession 59%–41%, corners 5–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsBahia 13 shots, São Paulo 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsBahia 7 shots, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Possession59%41%Bahia 59%, São Paulo 41%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBahia 5 corners, São Paulo 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsBahia 13 fouls, São Paulo 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBahia 1 card, São Paulo 2 cards
  • Passes472 passes337 passesBahia 472 passes, São Paulo 337 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%85%Bahia 87%, São Paulo 85%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsBahia 7 shots, São Paulo 6 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksBahia 4 blocks, São Paulo 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesBahia 3 saves, São Paulo 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesBahia 2 offsides, São Paulo 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
1Draws
3São Paulo
Bahia — São Paulo · Serie A0–3
São Paulo — Bahia · Serie A3–1
Bahia — São Paulo · Serie A0–1
São Paulo — Bahia · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia11 matchesSão Paulo11 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored11/110.82 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed11/111 goal/match
11.3 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 12 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 3.45 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession11/1150.8%
5.09 corners/match ●Corners11/114.27 corners/match
2.55 cards/matchCards11/113.45 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Jun 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBahiaSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headBahia — São Paulo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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