PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Arena do Grêmio

Grêmio 1–0 Bahia · Serie A

Grêmio

DDWDL
1–0Historical match

Bahia

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio won 1–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
23
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gremio beat Bahia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Gremio – Bahia): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–3, possession 32%–68%, corners 4–17. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionGremio · Bahia● 52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGremioBahiaBaseline
Possession43.1%52.1%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsGrêmio 9 shots, Bahia 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsGrêmio 2 shots, Bahia 3 shots
  • Possession32%68%Grêmio 32%, Bahia 68%
  • Corners4 corners17 cornersGrêmio 4 corners, Bahia 17 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsGrêmio 10 fouls, Bahia 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsGrêmio 4 cards, Bahia 4 cards
  • Passes276 passes563 passesGrêmio 276 passes, Bahia 563 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%89%Grêmio 77%, Bahia 89%
  • Shots inside box4 shots8 shotsGrêmio 4 shots, Bahia 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksGrêmio 2 blocks, Bahia 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveGrêmio 3 saves, Bahia 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesGrêmio 2 offsides, Bahia 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Grêmio
0Draws
2Bahia
Grêmio — Bahia · Serie A0–2
Bahia — Grêmio · Serie A1–0
Grêmio — Bahia · Serie A1–0
Bahia — Grêmio · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio10 matchesBahia10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
10.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 11.1 shots/match
3.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
43.1%Possession10/10● 52.1%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.1 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsGrêmioBahia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headGrêmio — Bahia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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