PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro 2–1 Palmeiras · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 2–1.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
35
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Palmeiras 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Palmeiras): shots 14–18, shots on target 3–5, possession 36%–64%, corners 5–13. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.91 corners/matchCornersCruzeiro · Palmeiras● 6.27 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroPalmeirasBaseline
Corners5.91 corners/match6.27 corners/match4.91 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsCruzeiro 14 shots, Palmeiras 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsCruzeiro 3 shots, Palmeiras 5 shots
  • Possession36%64%Cruzeiro 36%, Palmeiras 64%
  • Corners5 corners13 cornersCruzeiro 5 corners, Palmeiras 13 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsCruzeiro 17 fouls, Palmeiras 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsCruzeiro 3 cards, Palmeiras 3 cards
  • Passes238 passes421 passesCruzeiro 238 passes, Palmeiras 421 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%85%Cruzeiro 75%, Palmeiras 85%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsCruzeiro 7 shots, Palmeiras 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks8 blocksCruzeiro 3 blocks, Palmeiras 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveCruzeiro 4 saves, Palmeiras 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesCruzeiro 2 offsides, Palmeiras 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cruzeiro
1Draws
3Palmeiras
Cruzeiro — Palmeiras · Serie A1–2
Palmeiras — Cruzeiro · Serie A2–0
Cruzeiro — Palmeiras · Serie A1–1
Palmeiras — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro11 matchesPalmeiras11 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.09 goals/match
0.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/110.73 goals/match
13.9 shots/matchShots11/1113.7 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.73 shots/match
45.1%Possession11/11● 49.4%
5.91 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6.27 corners/match
2.64 cards/matchCards11/112.36 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1114 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Jun 2025, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required