PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza 0–2 Cruzeiro · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 0–2.

Shots
1017
Shots on target
18
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Fortaleza EC 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza EC – Cruzeiro): shots 10–17, shots on target 1–8, possession 49%–51%, corners 6–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cruzeiro's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersFortaleza EC · Cruzeiro6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFortaleza ECCruzeiroBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots17 shotsFortaleza 10 shots, Cruzeiro 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsFortaleza 1 shot, Cruzeiro 8 shots
  • Possession49%51%Fortaleza 49%, Cruzeiro 51%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersFortaleza 6 corners, Cruzeiro 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsFortaleza 14 fouls, Cruzeiro 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardFortaleza 4 cards, Cruzeiro 1 card
  • Passes414 passes442 passesFortaleza 414 passes, Cruzeiro 442 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%86%Fortaleza 87%, Cruzeiro 86%
  • Shots inside box6 shots13 shotsFortaleza 6 shots, Cruzeiro 13 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksFortaleza 5 blocks, Cruzeiro 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves1 saveFortaleza 6 saves, Cruzeiro 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesFortaleza 0 offsides, Cruzeiro 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortaleza
1Draws
1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Fortaleza · Serie A1–2
Fortaleza — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1
Fortaleza — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–1
Cruzeiro — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza10 matchesCruzeiro10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.5 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.7 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.9 shots/match
46%Possession10/1046%
6 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 May 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headFortaleza — Cruzeiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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