PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Monza vs Atalanta · Serie A

Monza

LLDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61
Expected goals
1.760.71
Shots
14.211.8
Possession
46.2%48.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 0 to Monza, 0 drawn, 5 to Atalanta. From this fixture's own record: atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Atalanta11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaAtalantaBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match19.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Atalanta in 3

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza5 matchesAtalanta5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.71 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
46.2%Possession5/5● 48.2%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners5/52.8 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Monza
0Draws
5Atalanta
Monza — Atalanta · Serie A0–4
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A2–0
Monza — Atalanta · Serie A1–2
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A3–0
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness51 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaAtalanta
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headMonza — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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