PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Fiorentina vs Juventus · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.21.6
Expected goals
1.61.55
Shots
16.817.4
Possession
43.4%55.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Fiorentina, 2 drawn, 1 to Juventus. From this fixture's own record: juventus have recorded the higher season possession share. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Juventus17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaJuventusBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match17.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match7.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%PossessionFiorentina · Juventus● 55.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaJuventusBaseline
Possession43.4%55.4%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Juventus in 9 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina5 matchesJuventus5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.55 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots5/517.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/5● 55.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 8.4 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
2Draws
1Juventus
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A3–0
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A2–2
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFiorentina — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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