Primeira Liga · 2026

Casa Pia vs Sporting · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.432.43
Expected goals
0.892.01
Shots
10.313.6
Possession
44.7%60.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCasa Pia · Sporting13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaSportingBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match8.57 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sporting have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%PossessionCasa Pia · Sporting● 60.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaSportingBaseline
Possession44.7%60.1%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Casa Pia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Casa Pia7 matchesSporting7 matches
0.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.43 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.01 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.6 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.86 shots/match
44.7%Possession7/7● 60.1%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Casa Pia
0Draws
5Sporting
Sporting — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga3–0
Casa Pia — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–2
Casa Pia — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–3
Sporting — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–0
Sporting — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga8–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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