Season Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Goals scored 1.13 – 2.5
Expected goals 1.37 – 2.27
Shots 12.9 – 15.4
Possession 48.9% – 52.3% Story Comparison H2H Evidence More football 30-second read
What the record shows The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Al-Shabab, 1 drawn, 3 to Al-Ahli. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: Al-Shabab favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 12 · 1 too close
▲ recorded edge● higher value (descriptive)
Season Last 10 Last 5 Home–Away Style profile Rest and recent workload
Al-Shabab 8 matches Al-Ahli 8 matches
1.13 goals/match Goals scored8/8 ▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.38 goals/match Goals allowed8/8 ▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.37 xG/match Expected goals8/8 ▲ 2.27 xG/match
12.9 shots/match Shots8/8 ▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match Shots on target8/8 ▲ 6.13 shots/match
48.9% Possession8/8 ● 52.3%
6 corners/match ● Corners8/8 4 corners/match
9.75 fouls/match Fouls8/8 14.5 fouls/match
Al-Shabab 8 matches Al-Ahli 8 matches
1.13 goals/match Goals scored8/8 ▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.38 goals/match Goals allowed8/8 ▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.37 xG/match Expected goals8/8 ▲ 2.27 xG/match
12.9 shots/match Shots8/8 ▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match Shots on target8/8 ▲ 6.13 shots/match
48.9% Possession8/8 ● 52.3%
6 corners/match ● Corners8/8 4 corners/match
9.75 fouls/match Fouls8/8 14.5 fouls/match
Al-Shabab 5 matches Al-Ahli 5 matches
1 goal/match Goals scored5/5 ▲ 2.8 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲ Goals allowed5/5 1.4 goals/match
1.13 xG/match Expected goals5/5 ▲ 2.62 xG/match
11 shots/match Shots5/5 ▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/match Shots on target5/5 ▲ 6.4 shots/match
45.4% Possession5/5 ● 51.4%
5.2 corners/match ● Corners5/5 4.4 corners/match
9.8 fouls/match Fouls5/5 15.4 fouls/match
Al-Shabab 5 matches Al-Ahli 5 matches
1.4 goals/match Goals scored5/5 ▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed5/5 1.8 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲ Expected goals5/5 1.38 xG/match
13.8 shots/match Shots5/5 13.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/match Shots on target5/5 ▲ 5.4 shots/match
46.4% Possession5/5 ● 52.2%
5.8 corners/match ● Corners5/5 4.2 corners/match
9.4 fouls/match Fouls5/5 13.6 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches 18.1 days Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/1 20.2 days
Al-Shabab / Al-Ahli
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
13 Feb 2026 Al-Shabab — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League 2–5
17 Oct 2025 Al-Ahli — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League 1–1
11 May 2025 Al-Shabab — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League 3–1
10 Jan 2025 Al-Ahli — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League 3–2
11 May 2024 Al-Shabab — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League 1–2
Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade B · Useful evidence Useful evidence — limited
Season samples 8 / 8 home / away teams
Recent samples 5 / 5 last-five windows
Freshness 20 days from nearest prior match
Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards. Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in Saudi Pro League 
Al-Shabab
Saudi Pro League · 2026
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