PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.141.29
Expected goals
0.931.53
Shots
10.317.4
Possession
52.4%54%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Celta Vigo, 3 drawn, 1 to Real Betis. From this fixture's own record: real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Real Betis17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoReal BetisBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo7 matchesReal Betis7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71 goal/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.53 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 17.4 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.43 shots/match
52.4%Possession7/7● 54%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.71 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/79.71 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
3Draws
1Real Betis
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga3–2
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Real Betis
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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