Belgian Pro League · 2026

KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.861
Expected goals
1.161.6
Shots
12.416.4
Possession
45.6%61.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: KAA Gent's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: RSC Anderlecht have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

KAA Gent show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KAA Gent's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsKAA Gent · RSC Anderlecht16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKAA GentRSC AnderlechtBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match16.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match9.86 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RSC Anderlecht's recent record differs from the season

weak

RSC Anderlecht's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RSC Anderlecht have a visible away split

weak

RSC Anderlecht's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match16.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KAA Gent favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 5 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KAA Gent7 matchesRSC Anderlecht7 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
0.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/70.71 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.6 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/75 shots/match
45.6%Possession7/7● 61.1%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 7 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KAA Gent
1Draws
3RSC Anderlecht
KAA Gent — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–1
RSC Anderlecht — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League3–1
KAA Gent — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League4–2
RSC Anderlecht — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League1–0
KAA Gent — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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