PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Fiorentina vs Como · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Como

DWWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.252.25
Expected goals
1.771.83
Shots
16.822.3
Possession
43.8%60.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Como22.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaComoBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match22.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%PossessionFiorentina · Como● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaComoBaseline
Possession43.8%60.8%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Como in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina4 matchesComo4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.83 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 22.3 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 7 shots/match
43.8%Possession4/4● 60.8%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 8 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/47.75 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
0Draws
3Como
Como — Fiorentina · Serie A1–2
Fiorentina — Como · Coppa Italia1–3
Fiorentina — Como · Serie A1–2
Fiorentina — Como · Serie A0–2
Como — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaComo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFiorentina — Como
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required