PitchMath
UEFA Europa League · 2026

Jagiellonia Białystok vs FC Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Europa League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21
Possession
43.8%30.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: jagiellonia Białystok have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Jagiellonia Białystok have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8% ●PossessionJagiellonia Białystok · FC Ararat-Armenia30.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJagiellonia BiałystokFC Ararat-ArmeniaBaseline
Possession43.8%30.3%46.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jagiellonia Białystok favored in 0 of 7 directional metrics · FC Ararat-Armenia in 0 · 7 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jagiellonia Białystok5 matchesFC Ararat-Armenia3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/31 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/31.67 goals/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/32 shots/match
43.8% ●Possession5/330.3%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/3● 3 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/39.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 3last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Europa League

Goals per match rankingShots on target per match rankingShare of matches scored in ranking
TeamsJagiellonia BiałystokFC Ararat-Armenia
CompetitionUEFA Europa League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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