PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Beşiktaş 2–1 Kocaelispor · Süper Lig

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Beşiktaş won 2–1.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.241.51
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Beşiktaş beat Kocaelispor 2–1. Recorded in this match (Beşiktaş – Kocaelispor): shots 16–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.24–1.51, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Beşiktaş's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Beşiktaş's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.29 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Beşiktaş show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBeşiktaş · Kocaelispor12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşKocaelisporBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.86 shots/match16.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Beşiktaş have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.9% ●PossessionBeşiktaş · Kocaelispor46.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşKocaelisporBaseline
Possession61.9%46.4%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsBeşiktaş 16 shots, Kocaelispor 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsBeşiktaş 6 shots, Kocaelispor 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG1.51 xGBeşiktaş 2.24 xG, Kocaelispor 1.51 xG
  • Possession58%42%Beşiktaş 58%, Kocaelispor 42%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersBeşiktaş 4 corners, Kocaelispor 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsBeşiktaş 11 fouls, Kocaelispor 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBeşiktaş 1 card, Kocaelispor 2 cards
  • Passes487 passes353 passesBeşiktaş 487 passes, Kocaelispor 353 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.2%79.6%Beşiktaş 86.2%, Kocaelispor 79.6%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsBeşiktaş 9 shots, Kocaelispor 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksBeşiktaş 1 block, Kocaelispor 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesBeşiktaş 5 saves, Kocaelispor 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesBeşiktaş 2 offsides, Kocaelispor 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 18′Orkun KökçüGoal · Beşiktaş
  2. 27′ShowGoal · Kocaelispor
  3. 29′Tayfur BingölYellow card · Kocaelispor
  4. 31′Dušan VlahovićPenalty goal · Beşiktaş
  5. Half-time
  6. 78′Leandro TrossardYellow card · Beşiktaş
  7. 78′Serhat ÖztaşdelenYellow card · Kocaelispor
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 39′Beşiktaş · 1 player changeİlhan Fakılı
  • 61′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeRigoberto Rivas
  • 70′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeTobias Fjeld Gulliksen
  • 71′Beşiktaş · 1 player changeWilfred Ndidi
  • 71′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeFlorian Ayé
  • 71′Beşiktaş · 2 player changesEmmanuel Agbadou · Kassoum Ouattara
  • 84′Beşiktaş · 1 player changeKartal Kayra Yılmaz
  • 87′Kocaelispor · 2 player changesMuharrem Cinan · Makana Baku

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Beşiktaş
1Draws
0Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor — Beşiktaş · Süper Lig0–1
Kocaelispor — Beşiktaş · Turkish Cup1–1
Beşiktaş — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Beşiktaş favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Kocaelispor in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Beşiktaş7 matchesKocaelispor7 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.03 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.1 shots/match
6.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.29 shots/match
61.9% ●Possession7/746.4%
7.71 corners/match ●Corners7/73.43 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBeşiktaşKocaelispor
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headBeşiktaş — Kocaelispor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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