PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Elche vs Celta Vigo · La Liga

Elche

LLDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.571.14
Expected goals
1.260.93
Shots
11.310.3
Possession
49.9%52.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Elche favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 5 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Elche7 matchesCelta Vigo7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
2.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
49.9%Possession7/7● 52.4%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/710.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Elche
0Draws
4Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Elche · La Liga3–1
Elche — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Elche · La Liga1–0
Elche — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–1
Celta Vigo — Elche · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsElcheCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headElche — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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