PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Inter 3–0 Parma · Serie A

Inter

WWWWD
3–0Pre-match analysis

Parma

LLDLW

Match at a glance

Inter won 3–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: inter have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

23.2 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Parma8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterParmaBaseline
Shots23.2 shots/match8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match18.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

63% ●PossessionInter · Parma42.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterParmaBaseline
Possession63%42.6%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Inter3-5-2
  1. Ivan ProvedelG
  2. Andy DioufD
  3. Benjamin PavardD
  4. Carlos AugustoD
  5. Yann BisseckD
  6. Federico DimarcoD
  7. Piotr ZielińskiM
  8. Hakan ÇalhanoğluM
  9. Nicolò BarellaM
  10. Marcus ThuramF
  11. Lautaro MartínezF
Parma3-4-3
  1. Edoardo CorviG
  2. Emanuele ValeriD
  3. Enrico DelpratoD
  4. Sascha BritschgiD
  5. Diego CarlosD
  6. Mariano TroiloD
  7. Vincent SierroM
  8. Mandela KeitaM
  9. David RomeroF
  10. Adrián BernabéF
  11. El Bilal TouréF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
1Draws
0Parma
Inter — Parma · Serie A2–0
Parma — Inter · Serie A0–2
Parma — Inter · Serie A2–2
Inter — Parma · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Parma in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter5 matchesParma5 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
2.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.67 xG/match
23.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/58 shots/match
7.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
63% ●Possession5/542.6%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
6.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterParma
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInter — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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