PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Inter vs Parma · Serie A

Inter

WWWWD
vsPre-match analysis

Parma

LLDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
30.5
Expected goals
2.730.76
Shots
23.28.75
Possession
63%42.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

23.2 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Parma8.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterParmaBaseline
Shots23.2 shots/match8.75 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match19.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

63% ●PossessionInter · Parma42.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterParmaBaseline
Possession63%42.8%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Parma in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter5 matchesParma4 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/40.5 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/40.76 xG/match
23.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/48.75 shots/match
7.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/43 shots/match
63% ●Possession5/442.8%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners5/43.75 corners/match
6.6 fouls/matchFouls5/49.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
1Draws
0Parma
Inter — Parma · Serie A2–0
Parma — Inter · Serie A0–2
Parma — Inter · Serie A2–2
Inter — Parma · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterParma
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInter — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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