PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Chapecoense · Serie A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro and Chapecoense drew 1–1.

Shots
267
Shots on target
111
Expected goals
2.211.13
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro and Chapecoense drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Chapecoense): shots 26–7, shots on target 11–1, expected goals 2.21–1.13, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots7 shotsAtlético Mineiro 26 shots, Chapecoense 7 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots1 shotAtlético Mineiro 11 shots, Chapecoense 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.21 xG1.13 xGAtlético Mineiro 2.21 xG, Chapecoense 1.13 xG
  • Possession66%34%Atlético Mineiro 66%, Chapecoense 34%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersAtlético Mineiro 10 corners, Chapecoense 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsAtlético Mineiro 11 fouls, Chapecoense 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAtlético Mineiro 2 cards, Chapecoense 1 card
  • Passes651 passes349 passesAtlético Mineiro 651 passes, Chapecoense 349 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.1%81.1%Atlético Mineiro 89.1%, Chapecoense 81.1%
  • Shots inside box19 shots5 shotsAtlético Mineiro 19 shots, Chapecoense 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksAtlético Mineiro 5 blocks, Chapecoense 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves8 savesAtlético Mineiro 0 saves, Chapecoense 8 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesAtlético Mineiro 3 offsides, Chapecoense 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
0Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro26 matchesChapecoense26 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.04 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.96 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/230.97 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2613 shots/match
4.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.42 shots/match
50% ●Possession26/2642.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners26/263.96 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MineiroChapecoense
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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