São Bernardo 0–1 Fortaleza — Match Stats & Analysis

Serie B · 2026Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC

São Bernardo

DLW

0–1Full-time analysis

Fortaleza

LDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 0–1.

Shots: 1517
Shots on target: 26
Expected goals: 1.071.42
Possession: 49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat São Bernardo 1–0. Recorded in this match (São Bernardo – Fortaleza): shots 15–17, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.07–1.42, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

Shots15 shots17 shotsSão Bernardo 15 shots, Fortaleza 17 shots
Shots on target2 shots6 shotsSão Bernardo 2 shots, Fortaleza 6 shots
Expected goals1.07 xG1.42 xGSão Bernardo 1.07 xG, Fortaleza 1.42 xG
Possession49%51%São Bernardo 49%, Fortaleza 51%
Corners4 corners6 cornersSão Bernardo 4 corners, Fortaleza 6 corners
Fouls10 fouls17 foulsSão Bernardo 10 fouls, Fortaleza 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 0 of 4 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo4 matchesFortaleza4 matches

1 goal/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4